Florida Bounces Some More

In the latest Quinnipiac University Poll, conducted Aug 5-10, Kerry is holding onto a convention bounce in Florida:

Kerry 49 (46)
Bush 42 (44)

Kerry 47 (43)
Bush 41 (43)
Nader 4 (5)

Bush's job approval rating is down 2 to 44%.

This is the first time Kerry's lead has been outside the margin of error (+/- 3).

These results are mirrored in the just released Rasmussen Florida tracking poll (subscription required), conducted over the two week period from July 29-Aug 10:

Kerry 48 (46)
Bush: 44 (47)

...as well as American Research Group's poll from Aug 3-5:

Kerry: 50 (47)
Bush: 43 (44)
Nader: 2 (3)

Now I'm starting to believe his lead is real.