Monday, September 27, 2004

Reality Check #2

No matter how many national polls we cite, the reality is that this election will be decided on a state by state basis. Each state has a certain number of electoral votes to cast, depending on their representation in Congress, and 48 out of the 50 states have winner take all electoral contests on election day. America Coming Together's blog gives us some good news on this front and others that, combined, should serve as yet another reality check:

1. This morning, ACT released some of our latest internal polling – to some good news. Two of the states that went to Bush in 2000 are now tightening up to a dead heat this year. Both Ohio and New Hampshire are in a tie at 46% 46% and 47% 47% respectively.

2. And the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports that in Ohio, Election Boards are overwhelmed with the quantity of voter registration applications. “Some boards are processing cards 24 hours a day. “

3. Scared by the news of their slippage, the Bush campaign continues their tactics of fear mongering, which the New York Times calls “An Un-American Way to Campaign.”

4. Not only is this tactic the worst kind of fear-mongering – it’s also not fooling the American people – As Dick Cheney travels the country talking about the spectre of Al Qaeda – voters want to hear simple truths about the issues that are most important to them.

5. They’re not much better when they DO talk about domestic issues. Bush continues to stay far out of touch with reality – the Washington Post reports on the ever-widening gulf between Bush’s ‘compassionate’ rhetoric about children’s healthcare, and his stunning inaction on the issue.

More news on the state polling front tomorrow.


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